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BLS and ADP data on private sector employment are quite closely aligned most years


BLS and ADP estimates on private sector employment are quite closely aligned most years
Private sector employment in the U.S., seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Chart
Note: Seasonal adjustment prevents data misinterpretation by adjusting for predictable events, such as holidays or seasonal changes in employment numbers.
Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ “Current Employment Statistics” and Automatic Data Processing’s “National Employment Report.”
PEW RESEARCH CENTER


BLS and ADP estimates on private sector employment are quite closely aligned most years
Private sector employment in the U.S., seasonally adjusted, in thousands
DateADPBLS
1/2010106,884107,311
2/2010106,401107,229
3/2010105,935107,347
4/2010106,029107,551
5/2010106,189107,647
6/2010106,258107,769
7/2010106,410107,846
8/2010106,509107,996
9/2010106,685108,095
10/2010106,814108,324
11/2010106,944108,462
12/2010107,047108,564
1/2011107,306108,579
2/2011107,582108,841
3/2011107,842109,090
4/2011108,162109,413
5/2011108,326109,575
6/2011108,516109,767
7/2011108,736109,944
8/2011108,947110,108
9/2011109,224110,361
10/2011109,351110,555
11/2011109,539110,719
12/2011109,665110,934
1/2012109,982111,299
2/2012110,298111,561
3/2012110,533111,805
4/2012110,768111,894
5/2012110,874112,022
6/2012111,085112,082
7/2012111,101112,244
8/2012111,223112,422
9/2012111,377112,592
10/2012111,681112,765
11/2012111,979112,942
12/2012111,848113,187
1/2013112,307113,388
2/2013112,487113,664
3/2013112,653113,819
4/2013112,696114,004
5/2013112,884114,231
6/2013112,937114,439
7/2013113,112114,576
8/2013113,361114,815
9/2013113,535114,986
10/2013113,625115,211
11/2013113,847115,473
12/2013114,427115,553
1/2014114,499115,747
2/2014114,719115,887
3/2014114,908116,152
4/2014115,181116,444
5/2014115,450116,680
6/2014115,736116,954
7/2014115,982117,172
8/2014116,274117,414
9/2014116,419117,666
10/2014116,721117,880
11/2014116,952118,158
12/2014117,219118,417
1/2015117,345118,608
2/2015117,471118,849
3/2015117,609118,953
4/2015117,873119,191
5/2015118,183119,526
6/2015118,328119,694
7/2015118,573119,941
8/2015118,716120,065
9/2015119,022120,235
10/2015119,251120,523
11/2015119,353120,727
12/2015119,499120,980
1/2016119,718121,096
2/2016119,968121,269
3/2016120,126121,484
4/2016120,372121,671
5/2016120,421121,701
6/2016120,685121,966
7/2016120,896122,231
8/2016121,019122,378
9/2016121,199122,644
10/2016121,356122,771
11/2016121,571122,906
12/2016121,677123,104
1/2017121,905123,312
2/2017121,991123,522
3/2017122,097123,640
4/2017122,244123,839
5/2017122,485124,033
6/2017122,674124,223
7/2017122,839124,398
8/2017123,004124,609
9/2017123,250124,674
10/2017123,359124,789
11/2017123,569124,994
12/2017123,783125,139
1/2018124,027125,286
2/2018124,253125,635
3/2018124,444125,853
4/2018124,526125,978
5/2018124,636126,291
6/2018124,843126,477
7/2018125,014126,584
8/2018125,258126,811
9/2018125,336126,884
10/2018125,591127,047
11/2018125,786127,144
12/2018125,808127,298
1/2019126,217127,551
2/2019126,376127,540
3/2019126,340127,726
4/2019126,393127,974
5/2019126,505128,059
6/2019126,520128,235
7/2019126,555128,364
8/2019126,558128,546
9/2019126,367128,712
10/2019126,443128,790
11/2019126,463128,959
12/2019126,910129,069
1/2020126,626129,250
2/2020126,733129,435
3/2020126,631128,068
4/2020120,537108,515
5/2020117,310111,647
6/2020117,202116,259
7/2020117,184117,741
8/2020117,294118,819
9/2020118,220119,841
10/2020118,860120,656
11/2020119,428121,048
12/2020120,141120,870
1/2021120,591121,134
2/2021120,782121,658
3/2021121,185122,390
4/2021121,239122,702
5/2021121,363123,122
6/2021121,715123,824
7/2021122,729124,704
8/2021123,976125,147
9/2021124,871125,632
10/2021125,666126,526
11/2021126,264127,162
12/2021126,962127,707
1/2022127,179127,950
2/2022127,710128,834
3/2022127,987129,304
4/2022128,311129,572
5/2022128,556129,789
6/2022129,051130,229
7/2022129,556130,767
8/2022129,879131,017
9/2022130,323131,233
10/2022130,541131,604
11/2022130,762131,836
12/2022130,884131,963
1/2023131,131132,288
2/2023131,288132,538
3/2023131,235132,586
4/2023131,367132,753
5/2023131,419132,919
6/2023131,565133,089
7/2023131,703133,199
8/2023131,822133,307
9/2023131,917133,396
10/2023132,047133,513
11/2023132,147133,610
12/2023132,242133,823
1/2024132,371133,896
2/2024132,462134,047
3/2024132,544134,216
4/2024132,657134,345
5/2024132,821134,505
6/2024132,957134,571
7/2024132,999134,611
8/2024133,179134,644
9/2024133,373134,852
10/2024133,594134,851
11/2024133,798135,095
12/2024133,974135,382
1/2025134,160135,461
2/2025134,244135,568
3/2025134,391135,682
4/2025134,451135,815
5/2025134,480135,884
6/2025134,457135,857
7/2025134,561135,934
8/2025134,558135,972

Note: Seasonal adjustment prevents data misinterpretation by adjusting for predictable events, such as holidays or seasonal changes in employment numbers.
Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ “Current Employment Statistics” and Automatic Data Processing’s “National Employment Report.”
PEW RESEARCH CENTER

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