{"id":49867,"date":"2012-11-07T12:02:34","date_gmt":"2012-11-07T17:02:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2012\/11\/07\/changing-face-of-america-helps-assure-obama-victory\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T03:48:12","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T08:48:12","slug":"changing-face-of-america-helps-assure-obama-victory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2012\/11\/07\/changing-face-of-america-helps-assure-obama-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"Changing Face of America Helps Assure Obama Victory"},"content":{"rendered":"

Barack Obama retained enough support from key elements of his base to win reelection, even as he lost ground nationally since 2008. In particular, Obama maintained wide advantages among young people, women, minorities, and both the less affluent and the well-educated.<\/p>\n\n

Overall, Obama benefited from relatively strong turnout \u2013 both nationally and in key battleground states \u2013 among young people and minorities. Obama won voters younger than 30 by a somewhat smaller margin than he did four years ago, but these voters made up about as large a share of the electorate as they did in 2008, according to national exit polls conducted by the National Election Pool. Moreover, African Americans, Latinos and Asian Americans backed Obama by huge margins.<\/p>\n\n

\n

Post Election Analysis<\/h3>\n

Latino Voters in the 2012 Election<\/a><\/p>\n

A Milestone En Route to a Majority Minority Nation<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n

Nationally, nonwhite voters made up 28% of all voters, up from 26% in 2008. Obama won 80% of these voters, the same as four years ago.<\/p>\n\n

Obama\u2019s support from nonwhites was a critical factor in battleground states, especially Ohio and Florida. In Ohio, blacks were 15% of the electorate, up from 11% in 2008. In Florida, Hispanics were 17% of the electorate, a slight increase from 14% in 2008. While minority compositional gains were not huge, they\u00a0offset a strong tilt against Obama among white voters. Nationally, Romney won the white <\/p>\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n

vote, 59% to 39%.<\/p>\n\n

Owing to comparatively strong turnout from Obama\u2019s base, the composition of the electorate in 2012 was strikingly similar to that of four years ago: Nationally, Democrats made up 38% of all voters, Republicans 32% and independents 24%. This enabled Obama to win re-election even though he lost the independent vote. Romney won independents by a 50% to 46% margin. Four years ago, Obama carried independents by 52% to 44%.<\/p>\n\n

Evidence of the demographic transformation of the electorate is seen in the profiles of each candidate\u2019s supporters: Fully 89% of Romney\u2019s were white non-Hispanics, compared with just 56% of Obama\u2019s supporters. Romney managed to better McCain\u2019s showing among whites by four percentage points \u2013 and still lost the election.<\/p>\n\n

Continued support from women was also an important factor that helped Obama stay above water in the swing states of Florida, Virginia and Ohio. He held or improved his 2008 margins among women in all three states, while losing support among men. Nationally, Obama won women voters by nearly as much he did in 2008.<\/p>\n\n

Obama\u2019s advantages among women, minorities and young people helped offset his continued weakness among white voters. Obama\u2019s falloff in white support was broad-based, crossing many demographics \u2013 working class whites, college graduates and even women.<\/p>\n\n

\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n

The economy was clearly the dominant issue of the election, but the extent to which voters held Obama accountable for their economic frustrations was limited. Nationally, 59% said the economy is the most important issue facing the country, but voters overall were divided over which candidate could do a better job on the issue: 48% said Obama, while 49% said Romney. However, by a 53% to 38% margin, voters blamed Bush, not Obama, for the economic problems the nation is facing.<\/p>\n\n

Obama also was aided by nascent economic optimism. By a 39% to 30% margin, more said the national economy is getting better rather than getting worse, and given the very strong correlation between that opinion and vote choice, that cut in Obama\u2019s favor.\nWhen it comes to how people feel about their own financial situation, more said they are worse off today than four years ago than better off, and most of those who expressed that opinion supported Romney. Yet importantly, a plurality of voters (41%) said they are doing the about same today as four years ago. These voters backed Obama by a wide margin (58%-40%).<\/p>\n\n

Voters\u2019 views of Obama were similar to those of George W. Bush eight years ago. After falling below 50% in job approval for much of the year, he reached 53% approval on Election Day \u2013 the same as Bush\u2019s in 2004.<\/p>\n\n

The biggest national trend in Romney\u2019s favor was the public\u2019s distaste for more expansive government. More voters said government is doing too many things than said government should do more, by 51% to 43%. But a populist streak regarding the lack of fairness in the system cuts the opposite way. Most voters (55%) say the U.S. economic system generally favors the wealthy, compared with 39% who say it is fair to most Americans. And a majority thought that Romney\u2019s policies would favor the rich, while a plurality thought Obama policies would favor the middle class.<\/p>\n\n

Romney improved his personal image substantially over the course of the campaign, but in the end he still was not as viewed as favorably as Obama. The national exit polls found that 47% viewed Romney favorably, up substantially from a low of 29% of registered voters in March during the bruising GOP primary. However, on Election Day, 53% viewed Obama favorably.<\/p>\n\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n\n

\u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Barack Obama retained enough support from key elements of his base to win reelection, even as he lost ground nationally since 2008. In particular, Obama maintained wide advantages among young people, women, minorities, and both the less affluent and the well-educated. Overall, Obama benefited from relatively strong turnout \u2013 both nationally and in key battleground […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sub_headline":"","sub_title":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_api_pending":"","apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_hidden":false,"relatedPosts":[],"reportMaterials":[],"multiSectionReport":[],"package_parts__enabled":false,"package_parts":[],"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"displayBylines":true,"footnotes":"","prc_watchers":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[44,57,25,39,50],"tags":[],"bylines":[],"collection":[],"datasets":[],"level_of_effort":[],"primary_audience":[],"information_type":[],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[458],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[],"research-teams":[520],"workflow-status":[],"class_list":["post-49867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election-2012","category-political-civic-engagement","category-politics-policy","category-us-elections-voters","category-voter-participation","formats-report","research-teams-politics"],"label":false,"post_parent":0,"word_count":789,"canonical_url":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2012\/11\/07\/changing-face-of-america-helps-assure-obama-victory\/","art_direction":false,"_embeds":[],"watchers":[],"table_of_contents":[],"report_materials":"","report_pagination":{"current_post":null,"next_post":null,"previous_post":null,"pagination_items":[]},"parent_info":{"parent_title":"Changing Face of America Helps Assure Obama Victory","parent_id":49867},"materialsOrdered":[],"chaptersOrdered":[],"partsOrdered":[],"partsEnabled":false,"datacite_doi":"","prc_seo_data":{"title":"Changing Face of America Helps Assure Obama Victory","description":"Barack Obama retained enough support from key elements of his base to win reelection, even as he lost ground nationally since 2008. 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