{"id":53149,"date":"2007-02-23T14:05:00","date_gmt":"2007-02-23T19:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2007\/02\/23\/20068430\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T03:49:04","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T08:49:04","slug":"20068430","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2007\/02\/23\/20068430\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 id=\"section-i-an-early-look-at-the-publics-preferences\" class=\"reportsubhead wp-block-heading\">Section I: An Early Look at the Public&#8217;s Preferences<\/h2>\n\n<figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/legacy\/307-6.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"272\" height=\"510\"><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, 52% of Democrats say there is a good chance they will support Clinton, compared with 41% who say there is a good chance they will vote for Obama. Notably, Clinton runs much better than Obama among older Democrats; fully 58% of Democrats ages 65 and older say there is a good chance they will vote for Clinton, compared with just 32% who say the same about Obama.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Clinton also shows strength among African Americans and women. Both Clinton and Obama have greater appeal among black Democrats than among whites; however, significantly more black Democrats say there is a good chance they will vote for Clinton than for Obama (63% vs. 50%).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Obama runs about even with Clinton among male Democrats, and does even better among young men. Obama also has broad appeal among the party&#8217;s liberals; more than half (54%) say there is a good chance they will vote for Obama, about the same as the number who say that about Clinton (56%).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, Obama garners significantly greater enthusiasm from highly attentive Democrats than from Democrats who have paid little or no attention to the 2008 campaign. Nearly half of Democrats (48%) who have thought &#8220;a lot&#8221; or &#8220;some&#8221; about the campaign say there is a good chance they will vote for Obama; that compares with just 23% of those who have given the campaign less attention.<\/p>\n\n<h3 data-is-section=\"true\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;republicans-lukewarm-about-08-field&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/table-of-contents&quot;}\" id=\"republicans-lukewarm-about-08-field\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Republicans Lukewarm about &#8217;08 Field<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n<figure><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.pewresearch.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/legacy\/307-7.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"288\" height=\"486\"><\/figure>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More Republicans say there is a good chance they will vote for Giuliani than say that about any other GOP candidate (36%). Yet there is no ideological or demographic group in which a majority says there is a good chance they will support the former New York City mayor.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Giuliani demonstrates relatively strong appeal among older Republican men: 45% of Republican men ages 50 and older say there is a good chance they will vote for Giuliani. Giuliani also shows strength among white mainline Protestants (45% good chance).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While Giuliani&#8217;s appeal among Republicans is fairly modest at this stage, it still far exceeds that of any other GOP candidate. Just 23% of Republicans say there is a good chance they will vote for McCain and in no subgroup do as many as a third express a strong willingness to support him.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, McCain does fare a bit better among young Republicans \u2014 especially young men \u2014 than among other groups. Three-in-ten Republicans under the age of 30 say there is a good chance they will support McCain; by comparison, 24% in that group says the same about Giuliani.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Section I: An Early Look at the Public&#8217;s Preferences Overall, 52% of Democrats say there is a good chance they will support Clinton, compared with 41% who say there is a good chance they will vote for Obama. Notably, Clinton runs much better than Obama among older Democrats; fully 58% of Democrats ages 65 and 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