{"id":73958,"date":"2011-01-27T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2011-01-27T05:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/2011\/01\/27\/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-muslim-majority\/"},"modified":"2025-07-03T10:20:47","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T14:20:47","slug":"future-of-the-global-muslim-population-muslim-majority","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2011\/01\/27\/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-muslim-majority\/","title":{"rendered":"Muslim-Majority Countries"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"md2-lede_large\"<\/figure>\n\n

As of 2010, there are 49 countries in which Muslims comprise more than 50% of the population. A total of 1.2 billion Muslims live in these nations, representing 74% of the global Muslim population of 1.6 billion. By 2030, Nigeria is projected to become the 50th Muslim-majority country. In that year, according to the projections in this report, a total of 1.7 billion Muslims are expected to live in Muslim-majority nations, representing 78% of the world\u2019s 2.2 billion Muslims. All Muslim-majority countries are in less-developed regions of the world with the exception of Albania and Kosovo, which are in Europe.<\/p>\n\n

\n

\"md2-110\"<\/figure>\n<\/p>\n\n

More than a fifth of the world\u2019s Muslims (23.3%) live in non-Muslim-majority, less-developed countries in 2010. These countries make up the rest of the \u201cdeveloping world\u201d; they include all the non-Muslim-majority countries in sub-Saharan Africa, Asia-Pacific (excluding Australia, Japan and New Zealand), and Central and South America, including the Caribbean. These developing countries have a total of 376 million Muslim inhabitants in 2010. By 2030, they are projected to have 416 million Muslims, or 19% of all Muslims worldwide. The decline from 23% to 19% is due primarily to Nigeria (which accounts for about 5% of the world\u2019s Muslims) becoming a Muslim-majority country by 2030. (For more information on Nigeria, see Spotlight on Nigeria<\/a>.)<\/p>\n\n

About 3% of the world\u2019s Muslims live in non-Muslim-majority, more-developed countries in 2010. This category is often described as the \u201cdeveloped world\u201d; it includes all countries in Europe (except Albania and Kosovo, which have Muslim majorities) and North America, plus Australia, New Zealand and Japan. These countries have a total of 42 million Muslims in 2010.<\/p>\n\n

By 2030, they are projected to have 62 million Muslims, still about 3% of all Muslims worldwide.<\/p>\n\n

This report uses the term Muslim-majority countries rather than Muslim countries because many of them have secular rather than religious governments.<\/p>\n\n

The terms \u201cless-developed\u201d and \u201cmore-developed\u201d in this report are based on United Nations categories. The U.N. describes regions as \u201cless-developed\u201d and \u201cmore-developed\u201d according to factors such as life expectancy, education and income. These U.N. categories are used for statistical convenience and do not express a judgment about the political or social systems of particular countries or regions. As this report notes, there is great diversity among the countries in each category.<\/p>\n\n

For a detailed look at each country and its projected population, please see the Sortable Data Tables<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As of 2010, there are 49 countries in which Muslims comprise more than 50% of the population. A total of 1.2 billion Muslims live in these nations, representing 74% of the global Muslim population of 1.6 billion. By 2030, Nigeria is projected to become the 50th Muslim-majority country. In that year, according to the projections 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