{"id":16421,"date":"2012-06-29T00:00:01","date_gmt":"2012-06-29T05:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/%year%\/%monthnum%\/%day%\/fewer-swing-voters-this-year-than-in-2008\/"},"modified":"2024-04-14T03:42:24","modified_gmt":"2024-04-14T08:42:24","slug":"fewer-swing-voters-this-year-than-in-2008","status":"publish","type":"short-read","link":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2012\/06\/29\/fewer-swing-voters-this-year-than-in-2008\/","title":{"rendered":"Fewer Swing Voters This Year Than in 2008"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Levels of engagement and enthusiasm in the political bases are particularly important factors in 2012, given how few voters are open to persuasion. Nearly eight-in-ten registered voters say they have made up their minds about who to vote for this year with \u201cno chance\u201d they will change. Just 21% say they are undecided about their vote choice or that they may change their mind before Election Day.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The relatively small size of the \u201cswing\u201d vote is typical of elections that involve incumbent presidents; in June of 2004, 21% of voters also were swing voters. By comparison, in both 2000 and 2008, about a third of voters were identified as swing voters.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The swing vote comprises three groups: the 9% of voters who either just lean to Obama in their vote preference (3%) or support Obama but say there is a chance they might vote for Romney (6%), the 7% of voters who either just lean to Romney in their vote preference (3%) or support Romney but say there is a chance they might vote for Obama (5%), and the 5% of voters who say they have no preference between the two candidates at all. <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2012\/06\/21\/section-2-assessing-obama-and-romneys-support\/\">Read More<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Among registered voters, just one-in-five (21%) say they are undecided about their presidential vote choice or that they may change their mind before Election Day.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"sub_headline":"","sub_title":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"relatedPosts":[],"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"displayBylines":true,"footnotes":"","prc_watchers":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0},"categories":[],"bylines":[791],"collection":[],"datasets":[],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[467],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[515],"research-teams":[],"workflow-status":[],"class_list":["post-16421","short-read","type-short-read","status-publish","hentry","bylines-pew-research-center-staff","formats-short-read","regions-countries-united-states"],"label":"Short 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