{"id":183520,"date":"2024-08-01T11:00:21","date_gmt":"2024-08-01T15:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?post_type=short-read&#038;p=183520"},"modified":"2025-08-06T13:08:39","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T17:08:39","slug":"many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain","status":"publish","type":"short-read","link":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2024\/08\/01\/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain\/","title":{"rendered":"Many Americans are confident the 2024 election will be conducted fairly, but wide partisan differences remain"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-640-wide\"><img data-dominant-color=\"edeaed\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" style=\"--dominant-color: #edeaed;\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg?resize=480,270 480w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg?resize=782,440 782w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg?resize=960,540 960w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg?resize=1200,675 1200w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg?resize=1280,720 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"360\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"A woman casts her ballot in the Maryland state primary election at a polling station in Annapolis on May 14, 2024. (Jim Watson\/AFP via Getty Images)\" class=\"wp-image-183531 not-transparent\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A woman casts her ballot in the Maryland state primary election at a polling station in Annapolis on May 14, 2024. (Jim Watson\/AFP via Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Americans are generally confident that this fall\u2019s presidential election will be conducted fairly and accurately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-640-wide is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=183523\"><img data-dominant-color=\"ede9dd\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_1.png?resize=480,651 480w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_1.png?resize=782,1061 782w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_1.png?resize=840,1140 840w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"869\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_1.png?w=640\" alt=\"A stacked bar chart showing that roughly six-in-ten U.S. adults are confident that the 2024 presidential election will be conducted fairly and accurately.\" class=\"wp-image-183523 not-transparent\" style=\"--dominant-color: #ede9dd; width:420px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yet Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP are far less confident of this than Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 1-7, 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, 61% of Americans say they are very or somewhat confident the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. These views have changed little since 2022 and 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The public is more confident that all citizens who want to vote this fall will be able to. About three-quarters of Americans (76%) say they are confident about this, a modest increase since 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n<div style=\"border-width:1px;padding-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);--block-gap: inherit\" class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible has-background has-ui-beige-very-light-background-color has-border-color has-ui-beige-dark-border-color\" id=\"how-we-did-this\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/collapsible&quot;}\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;collapsibleId&quot;:&quot;how-we-did-this&quot;,&quot;isOpen&quot;:false}\" data-wp-class--is-open=\"context.isOpen\" data-wp-init--scroll-into-view=\"callbacks.onInitScrollIntoView\"><div class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__title\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"><div>How we did this<\/div><button class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__icon\"><span data-wp-bind--hidden=\"context.isOpen\"><i class=\"icon icon-library__light icon__circle-plus\"><svg style=\"width: 1em; height: 1em;\"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/plugins\/prc-icon-library\/build\/icons\/sprites\/light.svg#circle-plus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i><\/span><span data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!context.isOpen\" hidden><i class=\"icon icon-library__light icon__circle-minus\"><svg style=\"width: 1em; height: 1em;\"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/plugins\/prc-icon-library\/build\/icons\/sprites\/light.svg#circle-minus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i><\/span><\/button><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__content\">\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand Americans\u2019 views of the 2024 presidential election. For this analysis, we surveyed 9,424 adults from July 1 to 7, 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of the Center\u2019s American Trends Panel (ATP), a group of people recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses who have agreed to take surveys regularly. This kind of recruitment gives nearly all U.S. adults a chance of selection. Surveys were conducted either online or by telephone with a live interviewer. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other factors.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/our-methods\/u-s-surveys\/the-american-trends-panel\/\">Read more about the ATP\u2019s methodology<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here are the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_questionnaire.pdf\">questions used for this analysis<\/a>, the <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_topline.pdf\">topline<\/a> and the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_methodology.pdf\">survey methodology<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"partisan-differences-in-views-of-the-way-elections-are-conducted\">Partisan differences in views of the way elections are conducted<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Between 2020 and 2022, Democrats\u2019 and Republicans\u2019 views about the accuracy of elections shifted. Today, partisan expectations about the 2024 presidential election are roughly on par with views during the 2022 midterms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-640-wide is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=183524\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f1f0f1\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  srcset=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_2.png?resize=480,469 480w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_2.png?resize=782,763 782w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_2.png?resize=840,820 840w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" height=\"625\" width=\"640\" src=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_2.png?w=640\" alt=\"A line chart showing that Republicans continue to be far less confident than Democrats that the election will be conducted fairly.\" class=\"wp-image-183524 not-transparent\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f1f0f1; width:420px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Currently, Democrats are 30 percentage points more likely than Republicans to express confidence that the presidential election will be conducted fairly (77% vs. 47%). <\/strong>However, in April 2020, as the coronavirus outbreak was spreading in the U.S., Republicans were more confident than Democrats that the election would be conducted fairly and accurately (75% vs. 46%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At that time, Democrats were far more likely than Republicans to believe that <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/politics\/2020\/04\/28\/two-thirds-of-americans-expect-presidential-election-will-be-disrupted-by-covid-19\/\">the COVID-19 pandemic would disrupt voting<\/a>. Eight-in-ten Democrats said this was likely, compared with about half of Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Over the same period, the partisan gap in views of whether all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to has narrowed. This is almost entirely due to a change in views among Democrats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In April 2020, 43% of Democrats had confidence this would be the case. Today, 71% say this. Among Republicans, roughly eight-in-ten or more have continued to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote will be able to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"intraparty-divides-in-views-of-election-fairness\">Intraparty divides in views of election fairness<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Among Democrats<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A majority of Democrats \u2013 regardless of their age, race or ethnicity \u2013 say they have at least some confidence that the election will be conducted fairly and accurately. However, younger Democrats are somewhat less likely than their older counterparts to say this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two-thirds of Democrats ages 18 to 29 are at least somewhat confident, compared with 87% of those 65 and older.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-640-wide is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=183525\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f0f0ef\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"620\" height=\"1064\"  sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_3.png?resize=480,824 480w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_3.png?resize=620,1064 620w\" src=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_3.png?w=620\" alt=\"A dot plot showing differences by age, race and ethnicity \nin confidence that the 2024 election will be conducted fairly.\" class=\"wp-image-183525 not-transparent\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f0f0ef; width:310px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, White Democrats are far more likely than Black and Hispanic Democrats to say they are confident the 2024 election will be conducted fairly and accurately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Among Republicans<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Among Republicans, age gaps in views of the election are modest. There are more pronounced differences by race and ethnicity. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">White Republicans (45%) are less likely than Black (62%), Asian (61%) and Hispanic (56%) Republicans to say they are confident the election will be conducted fairly and accurately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"intraparty-divides-in-views-of-voting-accessibility\">Intraparty divides in views of voting accessibility<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Among Democrats<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As with expectations that the election will be conducted fairly and accurately, there are differences by age, race and ethnicity in Democrats\u2019 views of whether all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-640-wide is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/?attachment_id=183526\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f0efee\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"620\" height=\"1060\"  sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_4.png?resize=480,821 480w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_4.png?resize=620,1060 620w\" src=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_4.png?w=620\" alt=\"A dot plot showing that Black adults are less confident than other adults that all citizens who want to vote in 2024 election will be able to.\" class=\"wp-image-183526 not-transparent\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f0efee; width:310px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Democrats ages 50 and older are more likely than those under 50 to say they are confident in this (77% vs. 66%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Black Democrats are less likely than White and Hispanic Democrats to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 id=\"among-republicans\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Among Republicans<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Republicans ages 50 and older are slightly more likely than those under 50 to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote in the election will be able to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But there are much wider divisions by race and ethnicity. Black Republicans (65%) are far less likely than White (85%), Hispanic (85%) and Asian Republicans (78%) to say they are confident that all citizens who want to vote will be able to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Note: Here are the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_questionnaire.pdf\">questions used for this analysis<\/a>, the <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_topline.pdf\">topline<\/a> and the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_methodology.pdf\">survey methodology<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>About three-quarters of Americans (76%) say all citizens who want to vote this fall will be able to.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":658,"featured_media":183531,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"sub_headline":"","sub_title":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"2024-08-01T15:00:37Z","apple_news_api_id":"6fe2fcf6-0e0f-42ba-b9b4-02caafc406dc","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2025-08-06T17:08:42Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/Ab-L89g4PQrq5tALKr8QG3A","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":false,"apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"apple_news_api_pending":"","relatedPosts":[],"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"displayBylines":true,"footnotes":"","prc_watchers":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0},"categories":[426,51,39],"bylines":[838],"collection":[],"datasets":[2785],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[467],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[515],"research-teams":[520],"workflow-status":[],"class_list":["post-183520","short-read","type-short-read","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-election-2024","category-election-system-voting-process","category-us-elections-voters","bylines-hannah-hartig","datasets-american-trends-panel-wave-149","formats-short-read","regions-countries-united-states","research-teams-politics"],"label":"Short Read","post_parent":0,"word_count":779,"canonical_url":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2024\/08\/01\/many-americans-are-confident-the-2024-election-will-be-conducted-fairly-but-wide-partisan-differences-remain\/","art_direction":{"A1":{"id":183531,"rawUrl":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg","url":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/07\/SR_24.08.01_confidence-in-elections_feature.jpg?w=564&h=317&crop=1","width":564,"height":317,"caption":"A woman casts her ballot in the Maryland state primary election at a polling station in Annapolis on May 14, 2024. 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