{"id":7815,"date":"2024-01-24T09:49:33","date_gmt":"2024-01-24T14:49:33","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2025-04-23T23:59:10","modified_gmt":"2025-04-24T03:59:10","slug":"has-the-rise-of-religious-nones-come-to-an-end-in-the-us","status":"publish","type":"short-read","link":"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2024\/01\/24\/has-the-rise-of-religious-nones-come-to-an-end-in-the-us\/","title":{"rendered":"Has the rise of religious \u2018nones\u2019 come to an end in the U.S.?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2024\/01\/24\/religious-nones-in-america-who-they-are-and-what-they-believe\/\">Pew Research Center\u2019s 2023 polling<\/a>, 28% of U.S. adults are religiously unaffiliated, describing themselves as atheists, agnostics or simply \u201cnothing in particular\u201d when asked about their religion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-640-wide is-resized\"><a rel=\"attachment wp-att-8818\" href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/short-reads\/2024\/01\/24\/has-the-rise-of-religious-nones-come-to-an-end-in-the-us\/sr_24-01-24_nones_1-png\/\"><img data-dominant-color=\"f3f3f3\" data-has-transparency=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"620\" height=\"1008\"  sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 480px, (max-width: 782px) 782px, 640px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/01\/SR_24.01.24_nones_1.png?resize=480,780 480w, https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/01\/SR_24.01.24_nones_1.png?resize=620,1008 620w\" src=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/20\/2024\/01\/SR_24.01.24_nones_1.png?w=620\" alt=\"A line chart showing that 28% of U.S. adults are now religiously unaffiliated.\" class=\"wp-image-8818 not-transparent\" style=\"--dominant-color: #f3f3f3; width:310px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That\u2019s marginally lower than our surveys indicated in 2022 and 2021, and identical to what we found in 2020 and 2019, which raises a question: After <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2015\/05\/12\/appendix-c-putting-findings-from-the-religious-landscape-study-into-context\/\">decades of sharp growth<\/a>, has the rise of these religious \u201cnones\u201d ended?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the risk of sounding wishy-washy, we think it\u2019s too early to tell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The identical results we\u2019ve found in three of the last five years are a sign of stability in the size of this population. At the same time, in two of the last five years, we obtained readings <em>above<\/em> 28%. In 2022, our estimate of 31% was 3 percentage points higher, while the 29% we recorded in 2021 was just 1 point higher. We haven\u2019t found any readings <em>below<\/em> 28% in the past five years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2024\/01\/24\/religious-nones-in-america-who-they-are-and-what-they-believe\/\">Religious \u2018Nones\u2019 in America: Who They Are and What They Believe<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div style=\"border-width:1px;padding-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--20);--block-gap: inherit\" class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible has-background has-ui-beige-very-light-background-color has-border-color has-ui-beige-dark-border-color\" id=\"how-we-did-this\" data-wp-interactive=\"{&quot;namespace&quot;:&quot;prc-block\\\/collapsible&quot;}\" data-wp-context=\"{&quot;collapsibleId&quot;:&quot;how-we-did-this&quot;,&quot;isOpen&quot;:false}\" data-wp-class--is-open=\"context.isOpen\" data-wp-init--scroll-into-view=\"callbacks.onInitScrollIntoView\"><div class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__title\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.onClick\"><div>How we did this<\/div><button class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__icon\"><span data-wp-bind--hidden=\"context.isOpen\"><i class=\"icon icon-library__light icon__circle-plus\"><svg style=\"width: 1em; height: 1em;\"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/plugins\/prc-icon-library\/build\/icons\/sprites\/light.svg#circle-plus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i><\/span><span data-wp-bind--hidden=\"!context.isOpen\" hidden><i class=\"icon icon-library__light icon__circle-minus\"><svg style=\"width: 1em; height: 1em;\"><use xlink:href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/wp-content\/plugins\/prc-icon-library\/build\/icons\/sprites\/light.svg#circle-minus\"><\/use><\/svg><\/i><\/span><\/button><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-prc-block-collapsible__content\">\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pew Research Center conducted this analysis as part of a <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2024\/01\/24\/religious-nones-in-america-who-they-are-and-what-they-believe\/\">detailed portrait of religiously unaffiliated adults in the United States<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The data on the share of religious \u201cnones\u201d in the U.S. comes from the Center\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/methods\/fact-sheet\/national-public-opinion-reference-survey-npors\/\">National Public Opinion References Survey<\/a> for 2020 to 2023, as well as from the Center\u2019s random-digit-dial phone surveys conducted between 2007 and 2019.<\/p>\n\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So, although it\u2019s possible that the \u201cnones\u201d have leveled off, it\u2019s also possible that their growth has continued, but at a gradual pace that is difficult to see in the data due to the natural fluctuations that can occur in survey estimates. For example, there was a prior, slight dip in religious \u201cnones\u201d in 2016, quickly followed by a resumption of the long-term, upward trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These kinds of trends are best assessed over the long haul, based on <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.pewresearch.org\/pewresearch-org\/religion\/2022\/09\/13\/religious-projections-appendix-b\/\">many survey readings<\/a>. After all, every estimate from a probability survey comes with a margin of error. Furthermore, it\u2019s always possible that any single survey could be an outlier \u2013 that is, any one survey can defy the odds and produce an estimate that differs from the \u201ctrue\u201d value by more than the margin of error.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Placing too much weight on any single year\u2019s reading could lead to erroneous conclusions. In hindsight, it clearly would have been premature to conclude that the 31% of respondents who identified as atheist, agnostic or \u201cnothing in particular\u201d in 2022 signaled an acceleration in the growth of the \u201cnones.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the same way, it\u2019s premature to conclude that this latest data point means the rise of the \u201cnones\u201d is over. The growth of the religiously unaffiliated may have slowed or even ended. But we will need at least a few more data points to be sure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pew Research Center will continue monitoring the religious \u201cnones.\u201d Soon, with more data in hand, we\u2019ll be in a better position to judge whether the 2023 estimate marked a turning point for the \u201cnones\u201d or was just a blip on the way to continued growth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Although it\u2019s possible that the \u201cnones\u201d have leveled off, it\u2019s also possible that their growth has continued, but at a gradual pace that is difficult to see in the data.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":658,"featured_media":8820,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"sub_headline":"","sub_title":"","_prc_public_revisions":[],"_ppp_expiration_hours":0,"_ppp_enabled":false,"ai_generated_summary":"","apple_news_api_created_at":"2024-01-24T14:49:41Z","apple_news_api_id":"43643aac-9eac-4f41-aa39-dabc4fa2d680","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2024-01-24T14:49:42Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAD\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/w==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/AQ2Q6rJ6sT0GqOdq8T6LWgA","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":false,"apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"apple_news_api_pending":"1713063245","relatedPosts":[],"datacite_doi":"","datacite_doi_citation":"","_prc_seo_qr_attachment_id":0,"spoken_article_player_enabled":true,"displayBylines":true,"footnotes":"","prc_watchers":[],"_prc_fork_parent":0,"_prc_fork_status":"","_prc_active_fork":0},"categories":[160,195,405],"bylines":[925,926],"collection":[],"datasets":[2445],"_post_visibility":[],"formats":[467],"_fund_pool":[],"languages":[],"regions-countries":[515],"research-teams":[517],"workflow-status":[],"class_list":["post-7815","short-read","type-short-read","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-religious-identity-affiliation","category-religiously-unaffiliated","category-size-demographic-characteristics-of-religious-groups","bylines-alan-cooperman","bylines-gregory-a-smith","datasets-american-trends-panel-wave-132","formats-short-read","regions-countries-united-states","research-teams-religion"],"label":"Short 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